Conf = ACC
Nickname = NY Orange Coach = Gary GaitGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 97.4117966 home-field advantage = -0.69 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 203 H Vermont America East ( 8- 8, 90.6) 20- 7 205 H Colgate Patriot ( 8- 7, 93.5) 18-10 209 H Manhattan MAAC ( 8- 9, 88.9) 16- 3 217 H Maryland B1G ( 9- 5, 96.3) 12-13 221 H Utah ASUN (12- 5, 92.2) 18- 7 228 H Army West Point Patriot (11- 3, 95.0) 13-14 302 H High Point Atlantic 10 ( 9- 7, 91.9) 19-13 309 N Johns Hopkins B1G (11- 4, 96.9) 14-13 316 N Delaware CAA ( 9- 5, 93.5) 14- 6 320 H Duke ACC (13- 5, 97.8) 10- 4 323 A Hobart Atlantic 10 ( 4- 9, 89.1) 13- 7 330 A Notre Dame ACC (13- 1, 99.9) 12-14 402 A Cornell Ivy ( 9- 5, 95.9) 17-18 413 A North Carolina ACC ( 7- 7, 94.4) 10- 9 420 H Virginia ACC (11- 5, 97.8) 18-17 503 N Duke ACC (13- 5, 97.8) 13-18 512 H Towson CAA (13- 4, 94.9) 20-15 519 N Denver Big East (12- 3, 96.2)
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 203 H Vermont 20- 7 13 7 0.00 205 H Colgate 18-10 8 4 + 2.41 209 H Manhattan 16- 3 13 9 0.00 217 H Maryland 12-13 -1 1 - -2.80 221 H Utah 18- 7 11 5 1.08 228 H Army West Point 13-14 -1 3 -- -4.09 302 H High Point 19-13 6 6 -0.23 309 N Johns Hopkins 14-13 1 0 0.46 316 N Delaware 14- 6 8 3 + 3.11 320 H Duke 10- 4 6 0 ++ 5.70 323 A Hobart 13- 7 6 7 -1.00 330 A Notre Dame 12-14 -2 -3 1.19 402 A Cornell 17-18 -1 0 -1.81 413 A North Carolina 10- 9 1 2 -1.31 420 H Virginia 18-17 1 0 0.66 503 N Duke 13-18 -5 0 -- -4.60 512 H Towson 20-15 5 3 1.80UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 H Army West Point 13-14 -1 3 -- -4.09 503 N Duke 13-18 -5 0 -- -4.60 217 H Maryland 12-13 -1 1 - -2.80OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 320 H Duke 10- 4 6 0 ++ 5.70 205 H Colgate 18-10 8 4 + 2.41 316 N Delaware 14- 6 8 3 + 3.11
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 97.41 Power Rank................. 4 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 86.97 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 6 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6910 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 4 RPI Rating............... .6503 RPI Rank................... 4 Champ. Probability ...... 7.5 Championship Rank ......... 3 Selection sum ........... 16 Selection Rank ............ 5 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 80. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 6 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 65. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 8 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 15.1 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 11.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.3